All in Stats

Cuts Like a Knife - Part 3

Graded 1986-87 Fleer is like the reserve currency of the basketball card collecting world.  Of the 9,000 listings sold in eBay around 4,000 of them were in PSA slabs.  BGS and SGC accounted for around another 1,000 total.  Graded 1986-87 Fleer is one of the most liquid card assets a collector can have.  Over 30 years after release it is still in high demand, especially if the card is considered to be in outstanding condition.  A sample of the 24 most expensive graded card listings from pwcc_auctions over the last 3 months brought in a total of over $240,000.  There is a lot of money changing hands for some very popular cards.

Cuts Like a Knife - Part 2

I can’t say that I had paid too much attention to the details of Prizm cards. I suspect most often the most desirable cards quickly go from pack to penny sleeve without being given a second thought. But, the exercise of measuring the cards gave me a reason to pause and really look at the cards. Upon closer examination, I noticed something substantially different between the serial numbered color Prizms and the base cards.

Cuts Like a Knife - Part 1

Lately, there have been a lot of conversations about sports card scams.  Some scams involve counterfeits.  Others involve shill bidding.  Then there is pack searching and resealing.  No doubt, all of these things happen.  By association, it can give many the impression that all collectors are dirtbags.  I know that not to be true.  Hang in there good guys.  But, there is another scammer activity that has me interested, card trimming.  In my opinion, it could be the single hardest scam to detect.  To compound matters, it arguably presents the largest potential financial gain to the scammer as well.

How is this possible? 2018-19 Optic Basketball Edition

In an effort to distract myself, though, I decided to do a short analysis on 2018-19 Optic Basketball. I had a reader ask me how the print run for hobby cases of 2018-19 Optic Basketball compared to 2017-18. Truth is I didn’t know before tonight. I didn’t think to look. Anecdotally it sounds like people are happy with Optic so far this year and that boxes seem to feel ‘loaded.’ Let’s take a look.

2018-19 Prizm Basketball and the 1%

I’ve been pulling together print run data on hobby and retail formats for 2018-19 Prizm Basketball.  I have enough data to make a reasonably accurate prediction of the print run for every type of parallel released in Prizm (not including Choice or Fast Break).  Here is what you’ve been waiting for … drumroll please … the total print run for 2018-19 Prizm Basketball Prizms:

Pick me! Pick me! 2018-19 Absolute Basketball

2018-19 Absolute Basketball.Released on the heels of Prizm, Absolute never stood a chance.Prizm is big, shiny, and almost universally adored.It seems to please the collector and the gambler.Prizm makes the world a better place just by waking up in the morning.Absolute?Meh.Why aren’t you more like Prizm?You’re not nearly as smart, funny, or pretty.

Crowdsourcing: 2018-19 Prizm Basketball Retail Break Data

It’s here! It’s here!  2018-19 Prizm Basketball retail has started to hit store shelves and fill shopping carts across the country. Yay!

The hunt is on, both in stores and online.  If you’re lucky enough to arrive at Target or Walmart as the shelves are being stocked, this is most likely the most affordable way you’ll be able to pull Silver Prizms from packs.  No need to pretend to be altruistic and leave some for the kids.  This is Prizm we’re talking about.  The only ethics that apply here are - don’t search.  No one likes a pack searcher.

2018-19 Prizm Basektball Hobby Print Run Analysis

Black Friday 2018 has come and gone.  For basketball card collectors, Black Friday meant busing lots of boxes of the newly released 2018-19 Panini Prizm basketball product.  I suspect most collectors were hoping to pull a Silver Luka Doncic rookie card from their boxes.  Let’s take a look at the print run of 2018-19 Panini Prizm Basketball in terms of the number of hobby cases produced, the print run for Silver Prizms inserted into hobby boxes (does not include retail), and the odds per pack of hitting different Prizm parallels.

2018-19 Prizm Basketball FOTL Analysis

It’s become a rite of passage for collectors of sports cards. The unnecessary difficulty of trying to order FOTL products on release. The latest exercise in frustration comes to us in the form of 2018-19 Prizm Basketball. It’s not so much that everyone builds a set of Prizm cards on day 1, or ever for that matter. It’s really that we want to open a box and turn around and sell what we bought as quickly as possible.

Gregg Jeffries, Adrenaline Response, Don West, Racketeering, and Probability Theory

For me, the hobby started innocently enough as a kid simply seeking out packs of baseball and basketball cards at my local convenience store. All I wanted was some Atlanta Braves cards and a complete set of basketball cards.  I’m a lifelong collector, so things have changed a lot since those days.  As a lucrative market emerged for sports cards in the 80’s and 90’s, it morphed into a national phenomenon with countless people building collections of Ellis Burks and Gregg Jeffries rookie cards in anticipation of funding retirement dreams with their new cardboard treasures.